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Showing posts with label Chart Patterns. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Chart Patterns. Show all posts

Chart Patterns, Part 3

9:08 AM
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Chart Patterns - Part 3

 Triangles & Ranges


Chart Patterns for Sideways Markets



That last types of scenario that can play out in price will form during consolidations. This is when the market has no immediate direction, or trend, and instead is moving sideways. There are only two distinct ways that this can happen and we will take a look at both in this lesson.


When the market finishes trending, or wants to take a break before continuing, it will show on your chart as a sideways movement. This is kind of like a ball dropping from height only gravity can also be reversed and so it could also happen upside down. The two ways that this can happen would be like a basketball vs a bouncy ball.


Triangle Patterns



This first pattern would be the basketball that has a good first bounce but then slowly looses its spring.




It is consecutive higher lows and lower highs that define this pattern. If the higher lows and lower highs that are being made were very close together then up to a point you may still be looking for a split double tap pattern, try not to mix them up. This pattern can be traded once price picks a direction and gets out of the triangle. The only safe way to do that is by allowing it to break out, waiting for the pullback, and using the double tap concept in a slightly different way.



Some traders will simply wait for price to break out of the triangle and jump in to to a trade. Here at ElectoFX we continue on with the repetitive theme of a double tap, in this case though you can use a mirror flip double tap, you just need proof that orders existed a price point on order for history to repeat itself. In order to do this you can wait for price to leave the triangle and return to it from the other side, you can see the 1-2 punch in the images above and would want to be be part of either the angled dotted colored waves, or the break of horizontal dotted colored waves. Look familiar? it certainly should because this is quite simply a 3-point turn style exit of the triangle.


Range Patterns


This next pattern would be the bouncy ball that has a bounce which maintains itself very well.





It is consecutive equal or slightly higher lows and equal or slightly lower highs that define this pattern. Up to a point you will be looking for a split double tap style pattern, try not to mix them up. This pattern can be traded once price picks a direction and gets out of the range. The only safe way to do that is by allowing it to break out, waiting for the pullback, and using the double tap concept in the same way as the triangle.






Some traders will simply wait for price to break out of the range and jump in to a trade. Here at ElectoFX we continue on with the double tap theme and just like with the triangle you can use a mirror flip double tap here also. In order to do this you can wait for price to leave the range and return to it from the other side, you can see the 1-2 punch in the images above and would want to be be part of either the angled dotted colored waves, or the break of horizontal dotted colored waves. Once again this is quite simply a 3-point turn style exit of the range.


Chart Patterns Conclusion



The mirror flip and multi-layer styles of double tap that you have discovered in these latest two lessons can also be applied to the trend continuation waves. The chart patterns and accompanying insights that you have just discovered will now go hand in hand with the next two lessons.

Chart Patterns, Part 2

8:47 AM
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Chart Patterns - Part 2

Double Top, Double Bottom, Head and Shoulders & More



Chart Patterns for a Direction Change


When price changes direction it can only really do so in four different ways and they are all very easy to read. Let’s take a look at them in depth and you will have them all mastered in no time.There is a theme of a ‘double tap’ with all of these patterns as you will soon discover. This provides proof that order flow exists at the prices in question.


The explanations given below on the trades that these patterns provide will make more sense to you once you have completed all of the lessons here at ElectroFX. Try not to worry too much about the details of the trade execution itself at this part of the course. Your main focus should be on the patterns themselves and understanding how and why they are the only ways that the market can turn. Everything needs to be introduced one piece at a time.


Double Tops and Double Bottoms – Double Taps



A price point reacts, is returned to, and reacts again within a few pips.



In the case of bearish pressure, the sellers are trying to take back control. A wave of selling occurs and then the following wave of buying returns to the exact same price and selling commences once more. There are a couple of options available when trading this direction change, you can be part of that 2nd tap itself and trade the wave down from the top, or you can trade the pattern as a whole once it confirms the double top by by creating a lower low.


In the case of bullish pressure, the buyers are trying to take back control. A wave of buying occurs and then the following wave of selling returns to the exact same price and buying commences once more. There are a couple of options available when trading this direction change, you can be part of that 2nd tap itself and trade the wave up from the bottom, or you can trade the pattern as a whole once it confirms the double bottom by creating a higher high.





What you are doing here is anticipating the change of direction. The initial reaction that occurred from the #1′s on the above images shows you that a price point is active, once price returns there you will want to be part of the next wave that originates at the #2′s in the image. Alternatively, the horizontal colored lines represent the neck line of the pattern and you could trade the break of in order to enter. You could also trade both!



Head and Shoulders – Split Double Taps


Similar to the double tops and bottoms in their double tap concept but there is a peak in the way, the head.





In the case of bearish pressure, the sellers are trying to take back control. A wave of selling occurs and then the following wave of buying is weak allowing the sellers to start again at a lower high. This lower high lines up perfectly with another high just 2 peaks back. There are a couple of options available when trading this direction change, you can be part of that last wave down in the image, or you can trade the break of the pattern itself as it confirms the lower high by creating a lower low.


In the case of bullish pressure, the buyers are trying to take back control. A wave of buying occurs and then the following wave of selling is weak allowing the buyers to start again at a higher low. This higher low lines up perfectly with another low just 2 peaks back. There are a couple of options available when trading this direction change, you can be part of that last wave up in the image, or you can trade the break of the pattern itself as it confirms the higher low by creating a higher high.



Once again, what you are doing here is anticipating the change of direction. The double tap on this pattern is split in the middle by the peak that extends further out, but the 1-2 punch still remains. The #1’s and the #2’s in the image above are referred to as the ‘shoulders’ and the peak in the middle of them is called the ‘head’. That is how it gets its name but thinking of them as split double taps will work also. As price reacts again at the #2’s you will want to be part of the colored wave that follows. Alternatively, the horizontal colored lines represent the neck line of the pattern and the break of it can be used to enter. You could also trade both!


The neck line will present itself almost horizontal or slightly sloped, when it is sloped it will always be more powerful if the slope is towards the direction you are looking to trade. When it is sloped in the correct direction you can trade the break of the low, or high, instead of the neck line. Due to the structure of this pattern if the slope was opposing the direction you wanted to trade, you would have a higher low followed by a lower high for a sell, or a lower high followed by a higher low for a buy. Either of those situations must be traded with caution or left alone.



The Ghosts – Split Double Taps



Similar to the head and shoulders but instead of shoulders it’s more like hands in the air, and similar to the double tops and bottoms but with a peak, or head, in the way again.





In the case of bearish pressure, the sellers are trying to take back control. The last wave of selling in the above image is the one that you would want to be part of, or you can use the break of previous low to trade the pattern itself as it creates a lower low. The best way to look at this pattern is to ignore the head and treat it as if it were a double top. The middle peak is just a failed first attempt at turning from the price point of the highest high in that image.


In the case of bullish pressure, the buyers are trying to take back control. The last wave of buying in that image is the one that you would want to be part of, or you can use the break of previous high to trade the pattern itself as it creates a higher high. The best way to look at this pattern is to ignore the head and treat it as if it were a double bottom. The middle peak is just a failed first attempt at turning from the price point of the lowest low in that image.



Yet again, what you are doing here is anticipating the change of direction. The double tap on this pattern is separated by a peak similar in concept to what you have just seen with the head and shoulders. The 1-2 punch of the double tap remains and the name ghost is simply a bit of fun because it resembles a child-like interpretation of a ghost with his hands in the air, or maybe it doesn’t and we are just crazy here at ElectroFX. The #1’s and the #2’s on the image clarify the double tap previously mentioned and you will want to be part of that latest colored wave which started at the #2’s. Alternatively, the horizontal colored lines represent the break of the pattern itself and can also be used as a trigger. You could also trade both!


The neck line will present itself completely horizontal or slightly sloped, when it is sloped it is strongly advised to only accept a slope that is towards the direction you are looking to trade. If it is sloped in the correct direction you can trade the break of the low, or high, instead of the neck line. If the slope is against the direction of your trade then, due to the structure of this pattern, you will have a higher low followed by a higher high for a sell, or a lower high followed by a lower low for a buy. Either of those situations must be traded with extreme caution or left alone.



The 3-Point Turn – Layered Double Tap



The simplest pattern of them all is saved for last. It requires an understanding of the market layers in order to find it’s double tap so a tiny bit of complexity is added. Market layers will be explained in a later lesson but this will serve as a good introduction to them.



In the case of bearish pressure, the sellers are trying to take back control. A wave of selling occurs and then the following wave of buying is weak allowing the sellers to start again at a lower high. There are a couple of options available when trading this direction change, you can use resistance from a lower market layer to be part of that lower high, or you can trade the pattern itself as it confirms its lower high by creating a lower low.


In the case of bullish pressure, the buyers are trying to take back control. A wave of buying occurs and then the following wave of selling is weak allowing the buyers to start again at a higher low. There are a couple of options available when trading this direction change, you can use support from a lower market layer to be part of that higher low, or you can trade the pattern itself as it confirms its higher low by creating a higher high.


When you anticipate the change of direction with this pattern you are doing so without a visible double tap. The double tap is a theme for a reason and with this pattern there will be no exception but you will need to look closer. If you imagine that all of these patterns are happening on different layers and of a different magnitude then you should have a rough idea of what the layers are. Let’s put that into an image to clarify.


Now you should understand the 1-2 punch of the double tap. This pattern may require you to be able to read the market on multiple layers but it is a very powerful pattern. There is no real hesitation with this pattern making it a very decisive move. As price reacts at the #2’s in that image you will want to be part of the colored wave that follows. Alternatively, the horizontal colored lines are also a great trigger point to trade. You could also trade both!

This pattern is like a head and shoulders that only has one shoulder when you think about it, or it is the pattern that you will see before a ghost. Between the four different patterns on this page you will able to prepare for every scenario of a direction change that can occur.

Chart Patterns, Part 1

7:18 PM
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Chart Patterns – Part 1

Continuing On With Trend



Price Movement Creates Chart Patterns


When you look at price on a chart there are only so many ways that it can move, after all we are only talking 2D here, price can only go up, down, or sideways. Understanding every possible situation that could play out is actually not that hard and by the end of these lessons you will know them all.

All price movements can be understood with a few simple patterns, it doesn’t matter if price moves up, down, or sideways, it will do so in pattern formations. If you spend some time understanding the logic of why this is then you will be able to react to them as they present themselves, eventually you will be able to fluently read what the next probable moves that price could make are. Let’s take a look at the only way that up, down, or sideways can play out.



Trend Continuation Patterns


When price is moving up or down it will always still be in a competition for direction so it will never be a straight line. The up or the down movement needs to be viewed in a pattern format that is created by the tug of war between the buyers and the sellers. The overall direction of the pattern is what will give you the up or the down movement as a whole.





In the case of the bearish downtrend, the sellers have control of the market. This is clearly signified by the lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL) that are being made. The piece of this pattern that you would want to be trading as a trend continuation style of trade would be the 3rd wave of selling

In the case of the bullish uptrend, the buyers have control of the market. This is clearly signified by the higher lows (HL) and higher highs (HH) that are being made. The piece of this pattern that you would want to be trading as a trend continuation style of trade would be the 3rd wave of buying.





What you are doing here is waiting for a trend to be established and then joining in for the first wave of a confirmed trend (the 3rd wave). You could then go on to trade the 4th and 5th waves in the same direction if there was room for the overall directional move to run. How you can judge that will become clearer to you over the next few lessons but for now just understand that the 3rd wave is always going to be the safest. The 4th and 5th waves are less common and need a higher level of experience to attempt.

 
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