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Showing posts with label Who Trades Forex. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Who Trades Forex. Show all posts

Support and Resistance

3:50 PM


Support and Resistance

It All Starts With Choosing the Right Location



Back to the Heart of the Forex Market


Everything starts with you choosing the right location for a trade to happen, this must be done using the evidence that is available to you and brings us back to the heart of the Forex market. Call it support & resistance or call it supply & demand, it really is just the same thing. If you have read the Forex basics article on support & resistance then you will know how we use both terminologies here at ElectroFX for a definitive purpose. If you haven’t been through the basics section before starting here then you need to go do that first.

Since the Forex market moves according to the laws of order flow it leaves behind areas of support & resistance and supply & demand. This gives you information as to where recent order flow existed and, based on the size of the move, how much of it. This is usable information for you to understand where are the most probable locations for the next trade to happen. It may just be 1 piece of the puzzle that you are about to learn here but combined with the other pieces that follow you will be able to achieve a very high win rate if you execute properly.

Location, Location, Location


Trading Forex is an art form that requires you to put as much probability on your side as you can, the first strategy that you need in place is to determine probable location. There is no point trying to guess where new pockets of order flow may form when you can just use the recent history to find them. You can find these areas by looking directly below and to the left of current price, and by looking directly above and to the left of current price. There is a tool included with free membership here at ElectroFX.com that will do this for you but it can also be done manually. With VIP membership here at ElectroFX.com we have a slightly more advanced version that also takes into account the mirror flip areas that have not yet been compromised. For the purpose of this entire Forex trading strategies section the vip membership software will be used along with the daily chart.



In this image you can see all the viable locations mapped out for you by the software, this includes support & resistance, supply & demand, and the mirror flips of each. These are areas where order flow existed and may exist again on the next visit. Price will very rarely react anywhere other than at one of these boxes. You can probably start to see many trades that you could have taken from one of the boxes that was created, then returned to for another reaction. This is a theme that you need to follow; an area is created, returned to, then reacts again and you simply join in.

Now that you have narrowed trade location down to this collection of boxes, your next job is to decide which box is the most probable to react again when revisited. This is done by understanding how price arrives there on the retest. This is done by making use of the chart patterns that were explained in the Forex trading basics section

The 1st Piece of the Puzzle


Although support & resistance and supply & demand areas could be traded all by themselves, it is not something that we do here at ElectroFX.com. Instead we just use this as 1 piece to our puzzle and by combining a few other simple concepts we are able to get much more specific and much more probable. So specific, in fact, that we are able to answer every question posed in the previous lesson with ease. The next lesson will show you how you can assess which areas are likely to react again, and the most probable type of reaction they will have.

Forex Trading Strategies

9:54 AM


Forex Trading Strategies 

Successful Forex Traders Have a Plan!



Build Your Forex Strategy the Right Way



In order to start trading Forex successfully you will need to build a strategy that is so complete you don’t have to think too much when trading live. There is no point sitting there second guessing yourself and trying to make a decision when you are in a trade. You should already know how you are going to react to every possible scenario because you had spent the time considering them. This may sound like a tall order but once you are done with all of the lessons in this section you will see that it really isn’t.


Think about it; your only options are to buy or sell, the market can only move up or down, and the market will trend upwards, trend downwards, or consolidate in a range. When the market does change direction there are only so many ways that it can present itself. It’s actually all very logical and the hardest thing for any Forex trader to master ends up being the psychology of it all.


A Series of Strategies Create a Complete Plan



A complete Forex trading plan is made up of a series of strategies. You can break down the actions of trading in to the important pieces, trade location, entry trigger, and trade management. Each of those pieces will need its own strategies that are able to provide answers to all of the questions below.


Here is a list of the bare essentials that you would need to consider to take a any trade intelligently.



  • What needs to happen for you to enter a trade?
  • Why would you consider buying or selling in a particular price area?
  • What would be sufficient evidence that you are not alone?
  • When will you pull the trigger?

  • How you will handle the risk:reward element?
  • Where will you put your stop loss and why?
  • What will your take profit be and why?
  • What is the minimum risk:reward ratio you will accept?

  • How will you manage the actual trade once you are in?
  • When will you move your stop loss to break even?
  • Are there any situations that may warrant moving to break even sooner?
  • Will you use a trailing stop and how?

  • What will your lot size and account management be like?
  • What percentage of your account will you risk on each trade?
  • Will you consider some trades more probable than others and risk more?
  • Will you consider some trades less likely than others and risk less?

All of the above questions can be answered with a handful of price action based Forex trading strategies. It is all of those strategies that combine to make you a complete trading plan. This plan will enable you to successfully trade several types of trade and also give you a blueprint for adding more later on if you need them.



This series of lessons will show you Forex trading strategies that answer all of the above questions and show you several types of trade to expand on it all even further.

Forex Trading Psychology

9:30 AM


Forex Trading Psychology


Discipline, Patience, Confidence, Fear, Greed and Anger



Understand the Role of Trading Psychology



As a beginner you will probably be thinking that learning all of the technical stuff is the hard part, but if we were to fast forward 5 years, and assume that you are a successful Forex trader, you would have very different beliefs. The truth is; the hardest part about becoming successful at trading Forex is fine tuning your brain to cooperate.


As we all know and are constantly reminded everywhere, 90-95% of traders fail. There are plenty of good trading methods out there that work (some better than others), yet 90-95% of people fail. Some of those statistics will be the gamblers who don’t know what they are doing and weren’t interested in learning properly anyway, many of them were probably tricked with get rich quick claims and don’t actually realize they are gambling. We must assume that the rest of the people that fail are those who studied and understood Forex trading and wanted to pursue it, after all, if you studied it and didn’t understand then you wouldn’t bother continuing would you?.


So, with all of these people who understand Forex trading still failing, how can we break that group apart?. Some of this group would have to be those who didn’t quite look around enough and received bad education, the rest would be those who received good education and studied it well. This last group of people still have a high failure rate! Since you are reading this and taking the time to study then this is the group you will most likely be in. Assuming that you do go through all of material that you need to, develop and understand a complete trading plan, and prove to yourself that it is profitable before going live, we need to address the reasons for the continuing high failure rate after that.


Discipline, Patience and Confidence



Discipline and patience are required if you want to learn how to develop a complete trading plan properly in the first place. It won’t happen overnight and is a lengthy process, plus you won’t be earning any money from it. It’s easy to rush things and jump in before you are ready because you smell the money, it’s not so easy to maintain the discipline and patience required not to. Once you make it passed that phase you will then need more discipline and patience to test your plan properly and make sure that it works. This will also take a fair amount of time and the smell of the money will be stronger because you now have your plan. The discipline and patience to get through this phase does come with a reward though. By taking the time to properly test your plan and see it working you will build up your confidence in it. This will be very important for you later on when the emotions of trading real money come in to play.


Fear, Greed and Anger



Once you complete your trading plan and test it the next progression is to start trading with real money. Logically this should be no different from when you were demo trading but you will find that it is not. Emotions are important for real life or we would all be cold and robotic but you need to switch them off when Forex Trading. The biggest problem for most people is the fear of loss and there are a couple of ways to tackle this. Firstly, you shouldn’t be trading with money that you can’t afford to lose, and secondly, you should maintain the discipline and patience to build confidence in your trading plan as discussed above. Just try and keep a level head with your confidence as you see your plan working or greed may take over. The fact is; no matter how good your plan is there will be loss sometimes, getting greedy and loading up on a trade that results in a loss will make you angry. Anger will force mistakes and you could get on a very ugly path to destroying your whole account. If your trading plan accounts for loss as it should then there is no way you could know which trade will be one of those losers. This should in turn combat greed.


Forex Trading Psychology Tips



It is easy to read about and acknowledge all of this but some of it is unavoidable. Maintaining the discipline and patience to develop your complete trading plan, then build confidence in it, are the easy parts because they can be taught. Dealing with the emotional effects of trading with real money will be a slightly different journey for everyone. I’m afraid you will need more discipline and more patience to get through these emotional elements. Just remember the following points.

  • A complete and properly tested trading plan will build your confidence in it.
  • The more confidence you have the quicker you will master your emotions.
  • Never trade with money that you can’t afford to lose and fear should not be an issue.
  • You plan should account for loss so greed should not be an issue.
  • You plan should account for loss so anger should not be an issue.

Whatever you do don’t expect perfection from yourself, no matter how much you read or how smart you are you will make mistakes early on. The only question that remains is; will you keep making them or learn from them?

Support and Resistance

9:12 AM


Support and Resistance

Supply and Demand



Supply & Demand or Support & Resistance?



As you explore Forex trading you will hear talks about supply & demand that are just like discussions about support & resistance. This is because in all reality they are the same thing but you will find that support & resistance is more commonly used and related to technical analysis, whilst supply & demand is more commonly used and related to fundamental analysis. That said; over the past few years supply & demand does seem to have become slightly more prominent verbiage in the world of technical analysis. Here at ElectroFX.com we have made use of both references and you will learn how in this lesson as they are each used for a purpose.


We are now at the heart beat of how the Forex market moves because this piece of the puzzle is governed by the laws of supply & demand. Price will bounce around between these areas and create new areas as it progresses until the end of time as we know it. You can look at each new area of support & resistance as an area where, when revisited, price may potentially stall and sometimes even reverse. Let’s take a look at how these areas of support & resistance are created.


Recent Support & Resistance



The reason that you were introduced to chart patterns first is that recent support & resistance is inherent within them. If you have understood correctly how to read chart patterns then you already know how to read recent support & resistance, you just didn’t realize it yet. Let’s dive in and take a look at how it works starting with the trend continuation pattern.




As price swings up and down creating this trend continuation pattern it leaves support & resistance areas in its wake. When price swings down due to selling then it leaves behind an area of resistance. When price swings up due to buying then it leaves behind an area of support. When an area of resistance is broken it must be watched from the other side in case it will now act as support. Here at ElectroFX.com we call this the mirror flip. Naturally this applies both ways and if an area of support is broken it may then act as resistance.


In this next image we will look at a double top in order to understand this support & resistance concept further. This double top pattern is followed by a continuation scenario that often plays out.





In the first image you were able to see a visual of how the mirror flip works for resistance becoming support. In this image you can see the other side of that coin with support becoming resistance. The idea of support & resistance should be very easy for you to understand after your lessons on chart patterns.


Just to be thorough in your introduction to support & resistance let’s take at these areas mapped out on a range pattern.





These areas of support & resistance have now reached triple tap status and once broken are more likely to have a powerful move. The same applies to the triangle situation which is also part of the consolidation family.

Recent Support & Resistance Layers


Sometimes the market will set-up exactly as those previous images on this page but there are plenty more variations that can occur. If you want to increase the amount of trades you are able to take then you will need to apply the same concept of ‘market layers’ to how you are reading support & resistance.





Here you can see the same trend continuation pattern that we just reviewed only now the mirror flips are not holding. How these higher lows are still holding though should look very familiar to you as it has already been introduced to you before. Remember the 3-point turn and how the double tap element was achieved as layers were introduced? This is now what we are doing with support & resistance. In order to keep the image clean and focused only the minor support areas that could be used have been marked in. These minor support areas are helping you find probable locations for the higher lows that follow the higher highs.


Let’s now jump back to the double top example only a slightly different variation. In this next image you can see how the same idea is now applied to resistance instead of support.




Once again only the minor resistance area that would have been used is marked in. With this example the minor resistance area helps you find a probable location for the lower high to follow the lower low.


You should now be piecing together chart patterns, market layers, and support & resistance as a unit. Here at ElectroFX we just call those minor areas supply & demand areas to differentiate between the layers. The areas created by the fatter black line would be the support & resistance areas, and the areas created by the thin black line would be supply & demand areas. This is not necessarily technically correct and nor does it matter, this is just a way that we use the various verbiage available to communicate with one another.


Not So Recent Support & Resistance



If you are just keeping things simple for now then reading 2 layers of chart patterns with their inherent recent support & resistance will be enough. As you progress though you will need to consider the not so recent areas of support & resistance. In this next image you are looking at what is essentially the next layer up, there is only so much room on a page and this is as far back as can cleanly be shown. There will be times though that the next area of support & resistance is much further back than this.





Keeping in mind that what is recent to you is relative to what kind of scale you have chosen to trade, all of your recent support & resistance activity is inherent in the chart patterns. There are however occasions where price is heading in to new price areas that have not been visited for a long time. In those situations if you want to know where the next potential area of support & resistance is you just need to look above and to the left of current price, or below and to the left of current price, as far back as you need to. With free membership here at ElectroFX.com you will find software that draws all this in for you but for now this is your introduction. As you go beyond basic training you will learn more and more about reading support & resistance as a key component to your success.

Forex Market Layers

11:00 AM



Forex Market Layers

Reading Chart Patterns on Multiple Layers



There are Layers to the Forex Market



The Forex market is a global market that runs 24 hours a day for 5 days of the week. Among the participants there are scalpers, day traders, swing traders, breakout traders, and position traders. Even with swing trading alone there are different groups of people swing trading different time frames. If you combine all of that with the governments trying to control their currency, the central banks trying to control inflation, and large corporations just going about their daily business, it’s not hard to comprehend how the Forex market can have layers.


While not entirely impossible it would be way too complicated for the average technical analyst to follow all of these layers. In fact, all you need to trade intelligently is to follow 2 layers so that you can properly read all of the chart patterns that have been outlined so far. If you wish to add a 3rd then you should only do so after you have mastered trading the 2. So let’s take a look at how to read 2 layers and if you wish to extrapolate from that you will understand how to add a 3rd.



Using 1 Chart to Read 2 Layers




It is the belief here at ElectroFX.com that the easiest way for anyone to understand this concept is by using a price based chart. The type of chart that has proven to be the smoothest and therefore clearest of them all is the median renko chart. Without scrolling around and trying to find you perfect examples like at many websites, let’s take a look at what is happening right now as this lesson is being written. Here is the GBPUSD median renko chart set at a value that closely represents the 4 hour candlestick chart and with 2 layers of the market mapped out for you.



Applying your analysis to 2 market layers means that the slowest layer you are watching (the green layer in this image) are the moves that you really want to be trading. Chart patterns can then be used on the fastest layer you are watching (the brown layer in this image) to help confirm the direction change of the slower layer.


For most of you this is not a common type of chart. This next image is of the 4 hour candlestick chart so that you to compare something that is probably more familiar. Both of these charts have the exact same start dates and this is purely just a different way to display the same data.





Using 1 Layer to Trade the Other Layer



Now that you have had a visual representation of reading 2 market layers you should be able to see how chart patterns can be used on both. On the slowest layer you are watching you can use the chart patterns to understand what type of trade you are taking. On the fastest layer you are watching you can use the chart patterns to actually trigger the trade.






Trade A:



You slowest layer (the green line) is displaying a 3-point turn pattern and that tells you what type of trade you are taking. Your faster layer (the brown line) is also displaying a 3 point turn pattern and that gives you a confirmation of probable direction change. There is a mirror flip double tap element to this trade at the green line scale but it is just off the screenshot to the left. Don’t worry, there will be plenty of examples showing this type of double tap in the rest of the material here at ElectroFX.com. Just focus on the concept right now.


So, at the green line scale you will be part of the wave that will be the 3-point turn pattern once it is complete, and at the brown line scale you are trading the 3-point turn pattern as a whole to confirm the direction change of the green line scale. There is a double tap involved at the green line scale so you know that this price area had order flow in the past, and even at the brown line scale this price area has proven that it is once again active (You could have even traded the brown double bottom earlier on but we won’t overload you just yet).


Trade B:



You slowest layer (the green line) is displaying a trend continuation pattern and that tells you what type of trade you are taking. Your faster layer (the brown line) is also displaying a double bottom pattern and that gives you a confirmation of probable direction change. There is a mirror flip double tap element to this trade at the green line scale that you can see just to the left. This is too easy right? Don’t get too cocky because you haven’t met trading psychology yet!



So, at the green line scale you will be part of the wave that will be the trend continuation pattern once complete, and at the brown line scale you are trading the double bottom pattern as a whole to confirm the direction change of the green line scale. There is a double tap involved at the green line scale so you know that this price area had order flow in the past, and even at the brown line scale it has it’s own double tap built in.


Adding a 3rd Layer



If you are comfortable with this concept you can add a 3rd layer by simply extrapolating from what was explained so far. The beautiful thing about this concept is that the same idea applies to each layer and there is nothing new to learn. It is strongly recommended that you master 2 layers before adding a 3rd for for the sake of clarity let’s take a quick look.




When using a 3rd layer you could use a faster chart to simply use chart patterns once again, or you could use candlestick / bar patterns for entry. The spots marked X on this image show the time that you would be able to consider looking for a faster way in. Let’s not complicate things too much at this stage though, this is still basic training.

Chart Patterns, Part 3

9:08 AM

Chart Patterns - Part 3

 Triangles & Ranges


Chart Patterns for Sideways Markets



That last types of scenario that can play out in price will form during consolidations. This is when the market has no immediate direction, or trend, and instead is moving sideways. There are only two distinct ways that this can happen and we will take a look at both in this lesson.


When the market finishes trending, or wants to take a break before continuing, it will show on your chart as a sideways movement. This is kind of like a ball dropping from height only gravity can also be reversed and so it could also happen upside down. The two ways that this can happen would be like a basketball vs a bouncy ball.


Triangle Patterns



This first pattern would be the basketball that has a good first bounce but then slowly looses its spring.




It is consecutive higher lows and lower highs that define this pattern. If the higher lows and lower highs that are being made were very close together then up to a point you may still be looking for a split double tap pattern, try not to mix them up. This pattern can be traded once price picks a direction and gets out of the triangle. The only safe way to do that is by allowing it to break out, waiting for the pullback, and using the double tap concept in a slightly different way.



Some traders will simply wait for price to break out of the triangle and jump in to to a trade. Here at ElectoFX we continue on with the repetitive theme of a double tap, in this case though you can use a mirror flip double tap, you just need proof that orders existed a price point on order for history to repeat itself. In order to do this you can wait for price to leave the triangle and return to it from the other side, you can see the 1-2 punch in the images above and would want to be be part of either the angled dotted colored waves, or the break of horizontal dotted colored waves. Look familiar? it certainly should because this is quite simply a 3-point turn style exit of the triangle.


Range Patterns


This next pattern would be the bouncy ball that has a bounce which maintains itself very well.





It is consecutive equal or slightly higher lows and equal or slightly lower highs that define this pattern. Up to a point you will be looking for a split double tap style pattern, try not to mix them up. This pattern can be traded once price picks a direction and gets out of the range. The only safe way to do that is by allowing it to break out, waiting for the pullback, and using the double tap concept in the same way as the triangle.






Some traders will simply wait for price to break out of the range and jump in to a trade. Here at ElectoFX we continue on with the double tap theme and just like with the triangle you can use a mirror flip double tap here also. In order to do this you can wait for price to leave the range and return to it from the other side, you can see the 1-2 punch in the images above and would want to be be part of either the angled dotted colored waves, or the break of horizontal dotted colored waves. Once again this is quite simply a 3-point turn style exit of the range.


Chart Patterns Conclusion



The mirror flip and multi-layer styles of double tap that you have discovered in these latest two lessons can also be applied to the trend continuation waves. The chart patterns and accompanying insights that you have just discovered will now go hand in hand with the next two lessons.

Chart Patterns, Part 2

8:47 AM

Chart Patterns - Part 2

Double Top, Double Bottom, Head and Shoulders & More



Chart Patterns for a Direction Change


When price changes direction it can only really do so in four different ways and they are all very easy to read. Let’s take a look at them in depth and you will have them all mastered in no time.There is a theme of a ‘double tap’ with all of these patterns as you will soon discover. This provides proof that order flow exists at the prices in question.


The explanations given below on the trades that these patterns provide will make more sense to you once you have completed all of the lessons here at ElectroFX. Try not to worry too much about the details of the trade execution itself at this part of the course. Your main focus should be on the patterns themselves and understanding how and why they are the only ways that the market can turn. Everything needs to be introduced one piece at a time.


Double Tops and Double Bottoms – Double Taps



A price point reacts, is returned to, and reacts again within a few pips.



In the case of bearish pressure, the sellers are trying to take back control. A wave of selling occurs and then the following wave of buying returns to the exact same price and selling commences once more. There are a couple of options available when trading this direction change, you can be part of that 2nd tap itself and trade the wave down from the top, or you can trade the pattern as a whole once it confirms the double top by by creating a lower low.


In the case of bullish pressure, the buyers are trying to take back control. A wave of buying occurs and then the following wave of selling returns to the exact same price and buying commences once more. There are a couple of options available when trading this direction change, you can be part of that 2nd tap itself and trade the wave up from the bottom, or you can trade the pattern as a whole once it confirms the double bottom by creating a higher high.





What you are doing here is anticipating the change of direction. The initial reaction that occurred from the #1′s on the above images shows you that a price point is active, once price returns there you will want to be part of the next wave that originates at the #2′s in the image. Alternatively, the horizontal colored lines represent the neck line of the pattern and you could trade the break of in order to enter. You could also trade both!



Head and Shoulders – Split Double Taps


Similar to the double tops and bottoms in their double tap concept but there is a peak in the way, the head.





In the case of bearish pressure, the sellers are trying to take back control. A wave of selling occurs and then the following wave of buying is weak allowing the sellers to start again at a lower high. This lower high lines up perfectly with another high just 2 peaks back. There are a couple of options available when trading this direction change, you can be part of that last wave down in the image, or you can trade the break of the pattern itself as it confirms the lower high by creating a lower low.


In the case of bullish pressure, the buyers are trying to take back control. A wave of buying occurs and then the following wave of selling is weak allowing the buyers to start again at a higher low. This higher low lines up perfectly with another low just 2 peaks back. There are a couple of options available when trading this direction change, you can be part of that last wave up in the image, or you can trade the break of the pattern itself as it confirms the higher low by creating a higher high.



Once again, what you are doing here is anticipating the change of direction. The double tap on this pattern is split in the middle by the peak that extends further out, but the 1-2 punch still remains. The #1’s and the #2’s in the image above are referred to as the ‘shoulders’ and the peak in the middle of them is called the ‘head’. That is how it gets its name but thinking of them as split double taps will work also. As price reacts again at the #2’s you will want to be part of the colored wave that follows. Alternatively, the horizontal colored lines represent the neck line of the pattern and the break of it can be used to enter. You could also trade both!


The neck line will present itself almost horizontal or slightly sloped, when it is sloped it will always be more powerful if the slope is towards the direction you are looking to trade. When it is sloped in the correct direction you can trade the break of the low, or high, instead of the neck line. Due to the structure of this pattern if the slope was opposing the direction you wanted to trade, you would have a higher low followed by a lower high for a sell, or a lower high followed by a higher low for a buy. Either of those situations must be traded with caution or left alone.



The Ghosts – Split Double Taps



Similar to the head and shoulders but instead of shoulders it’s more like hands in the air, and similar to the double tops and bottoms but with a peak, or head, in the way again.





In the case of bearish pressure, the sellers are trying to take back control. The last wave of selling in the above image is the one that you would want to be part of, or you can use the break of previous low to trade the pattern itself as it creates a lower low. The best way to look at this pattern is to ignore the head and treat it as if it were a double top. The middle peak is just a failed first attempt at turning from the price point of the highest high in that image.


In the case of bullish pressure, the buyers are trying to take back control. The last wave of buying in that image is the one that you would want to be part of, or you can use the break of previous high to trade the pattern itself as it creates a higher high. The best way to look at this pattern is to ignore the head and treat it as if it were a double bottom. The middle peak is just a failed first attempt at turning from the price point of the lowest low in that image.



Yet again, what you are doing here is anticipating the change of direction. The double tap on this pattern is separated by a peak similar in concept to what you have just seen with the head and shoulders. The 1-2 punch of the double tap remains and the name ghost is simply a bit of fun because it resembles a child-like interpretation of a ghost with his hands in the air, or maybe it doesn’t and we are just crazy here at ElectroFX. The #1’s and the #2’s on the image clarify the double tap previously mentioned and you will want to be part of that latest colored wave which started at the #2’s. Alternatively, the horizontal colored lines represent the break of the pattern itself and can also be used as a trigger. You could also trade both!


The neck line will present itself completely horizontal or slightly sloped, when it is sloped it is strongly advised to only accept a slope that is towards the direction you are looking to trade. If it is sloped in the correct direction you can trade the break of the low, or high, instead of the neck line. If the slope is against the direction of your trade then, due to the structure of this pattern, you will have a higher low followed by a higher high for a sell, or a lower high followed by a lower low for a buy. Either of those situations must be traded with extreme caution or left alone.



The 3-Point Turn – Layered Double Tap



The simplest pattern of them all is saved for last. It requires an understanding of the market layers in order to find it’s double tap so a tiny bit of complexity is added. Market layers will be explained in a later lesson but this will serve as a good introduction to them.



In the case of bearish pressure, the sellers are trying to take back control. A wave of selling occurs and then the following wave of buying is weak allowing the sellers to start again at a lower high. There are a couple of options available when trading this direction change, you can use resistance from a lower market layer to be part of that lower high, or you can trade the pattern itself as it confirms its lower high by creating a lower low.


In the case of bullish pressure, the buyers are trying to take back control. A wave of buying occurs and then the following wave of selling is weak allowing the buyers to start again at a higher low. There are a couple of options available when trading this direction change, you can use support from a lower market layer to be part of that higher low, or you can trade the pattern itself as it confirms its higher low by creating a higher high.


When you anticipate the change of direction with this pattern you are doing so without a visible double tap. The double tap is a theme for a reason and with this pattern there will be no exception but you will need to look closer. If you imagine that all of these patterns are happening on different layers and of a different magnitude then you should have a rough idea of what the layers are. Let’s put that into an image to clarify.


Now you should understand the 1-2 punch of the double tap. This pattern may require you to be able to read the market on multiple layers but it is a very powerful pattern. There is no real hesitation with this pattern making it a very decisive move. As price reacts at the #2’s in that image you will want to be part of the colored wave that follows. Alternatively, the horizontal colored lines are also a great trigger point to trade. You could also trade both!

This pattern is like a head and shoulders that only has one shoulder when you think about it, or it is the pattern that you will see before a ghost. Between the four different patterns on this page you will able to prepare for every scenario of a direction change that can occur.

Chart Patterns, Part 1

7:18 PM

Chart Patterns – Part 1

Continuing On With Trend



Price Movement Creates Chart Patterns


When you look at price on a chart there are only so many ways that it can move, after all we are only talking 2D here, price can only go up, down, or sideways. Understanding every possible situation that could play out is actually not that hard and by the end of these lessons you will know them all.

All price movements can be understood with a few simple patterns, it doesn’t matter if price moves up, down, or sideways, it will do so in pattern formations. If you spend some time understanding the logic of why this is then you will be able to react to them as they present themselves, eventually you will be able to fluently read what the next probable moves that price could make are. Let’s take a look at the only way that up, down, or sideways can play out.



Trend Continuation Patterns


When price is moving up or down it will always still be in a competition for direction so it will never be a straight line. The up or the down movement needs to be viewed in a pattern format that is created by the tug of war between the buyers and the sellers. The overall direction of the pattern is what will give you the up or the down movement as a whole.





In the case of the bearish downtrend, the sellers have control of the market. This is clearly signified by the lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL) that are being made. The piece of this pattern that you would want to be trading as a trend continuation style of trade would be the 3rd wave of selling

In the case of the bullish uptrend, the buyers have control of the market. This is clearly signified by the higher lows (HL) and higher highs (HH) that are being made. The piece of this pattern that you would want to be trading as a trend continuation style of trade would be the 3rd wave of buying.





What you are doing here is waiting for a trend to be established and then joining in for the first wave of a confirmed trend (the 3rd wave). You could then go on to trade the 4th and 5th waves in the same direction if there was room for the overall directional move to run. How you can judge that will become clearer to you over the next few lessons but for now just understand that the 3rd wave is always going to be the safest. The 4th and 5th waves are less common and need a higher level of experience to attempt.

Who Trades Forex?

8:22 PM

Who Trades Forex?

The Forex Market Players Explained



The Forex Market Hierarchy


The fact that the forex market is decentralized means that there is no single price for everyone at any given time. It will depend on what broker you are using as to what price you will get. That may sound a touch chaotic but it’s actually very easy to map out the hierarchy structure that exists. No prizes for guessing who is at the top of the food chain, the major banks, these banks comprise what is known as the interbank market. These banks are the largest in the World with the odd smaller one who has made its way in. These banks often trade directly with each other.

When these major banks are not trading directly with each other they will trade through the Electronic Brokering Services (EBS) or the Reuters Dealing 3000-Spot Matching. The competition between those two is very strong and together they make up the second layer of the FX ladder. Let’s take a look at an image to clarify their place.






The Big Players of Forex


The largest banks on the planet trade ridiculous amounts of money for both themselves and their clients, they make up the interbank market and end up determining the exchange rates. Governments participate in a big way due to their everyday operations and trade payments. On occasion governments will also intervene to try and manipulate their currency, Japan is famous for this and you need to beware of the JPY pairs when this is happening. Central banks have a big impact on the forex market as they try to control inflation by adjusting interest rates, they also like to try and intervene verbally when they release their statements. The last of the big market players are the large multinational corporations who are participating for the purpose of doing business globally, they have to exchange currencies constantly as products and services are bought and sold. Everyone from here on down is just a speculator and it is this group that you will be part of if you pursue this journey in to forex.

Your Place as a Retail Trader


It should come as no surprise that us retail traders are at the bottom of that ladder and it is not really worth thinking about anyway. It makes no difference to how we can trade so we just deal with it and move on. All of those major banks are part of the interbank market and get to see what prices the Electronic Brokering Services (EBS) or the Reuters Dealing 3000-Spot Matching are offering, we on the other hand just get to chose a broker or two and get what we are given. The good news is that once you learn to read the market correctly non of this will matter that much. It’s just information and there is nothing wrong with educating yourself in what you are doing.

 
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